Estimation of Validity in the Absence of a Criterion.
SOUTHWESTERN COMPUTING SERVICE INC TULSA OKLA
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In a training situation, standard procedures to predict performance entail a long delay between the request for a prediction instrument and its delivery. In the study, methods were developed for constructing prediction instruments at the time of request, rather than requiring the necessary time elapse for maturation of criterion data. The prediction systems developed by these methods were about as effective as instruments developed by the classical methods. The synthetic methods utilized estimates of performance made by experts in the training area as substitutes for actual performance. These methods, therefore, can be used before a course has even been given for the first time. Author
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