Accession Number:
AD0689748
Title:
THE PREDICTION OF OPERATIONAL SUCCESS.
Descriptive Note:
Rept. for Sep 66-Dec 67,
Corporate Author:
AEROSPACE CORP EL SEGUNDO CALIF ENGINEERING SCIENCE OPERATIONS
Personal Author(s):
Report Date:
1969-06-16
Pagination or Media Count:
41.0
Abstract:
A general procedure for obtaining a direct estimate of confidence in the success of a process is developed. The measure of confidence is an expected value of reliability based on a Bayesian a posteriori distribution. A flexible model of the a priori distribution permits the combination of a priori estimates with the results of either attribute success or failure, or variate measurement testing. A self-contained applications section summarizes the methods of computation. Author
Descriptors:
Subject Categories:
- Operations Research
- Manufacturing and Industrial Engineering and Control of Production Systems