FORECAST OF AIRLINE PILOT REQUIREMENTS.
LOGISTICS MANAGEMENT INST WASHINGTON D C
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The report presents a forecast of pilot needs by the U.S. certificated route air carriers up to 1980. The forecast of active pilot employment was made in two ways direct extrapolation of past employment trends and estimates based on the forecast size and composition of the air carriers aircraft fleet. Forecasts of annual pilot attrition were included to arrive at annual estimates of new pilot demand. Since the long-range trend is of primary interest, short-term variations have not been highlighted. Based on the analyses qualifications detailed in the report, the most probable level of U. S. certificated route air carrier active pilot employment will be around 44,000 in 1977. The total number of new pilot hires during the next ten years is forecast to be around 31,000.
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