Accession Number:

AD0653606

Title:

TEMPER AS A MODEL OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS: AN EVALUATION FOR THE JOINT WAR GAMES AGENCY DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE

Descriptive Note:

Final rept.

Corporate Author:

SIMULMATICS CORP CAMBRIDGE MA

Personal Author(s):

• Cook, Michael F.
• White, Michael J.
• Clemens, Walter C.
• de Sola Pool, Ithiel

Report Date:

1966-12-01

Pagination or Media Count:

137.0

Abstract:

An evaluation is presented of the TEMPER model as a representation of, and a tool for, the analysis of international relations. The major assumptions implicit in the model were examined and assessed to determine their degree of scientific validation, relevance to problems of crisis management, and relevance to decisions of the U.S. and the Department of Defense. Equations and computer routines dealing with political aspects of the model were analyzed. Recommendations were made to eliminate, modify or combine routines, correct errors and ambiguities, and simplify propositions embedded in the model. Strengths and novel features of the TEMPER design were also identified. The most radical recommendation in this report is to transform TEMPER into a family of partial models for man-machine interaction in the analysis of international crisis. Time-sharing now makes this practicable. TEMPER is potentially a powerful device for the study of international relations.

Descriptors:

• *WAR GAMES
• COMPUTER PROGRAMS
• MATHEMATICAL MODELS
• FOREIGN POLICY
• DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE
• POLITICAL SCIENCE
• DECISION MAKING
• PROBLEM SOLVING
• COLD WAR

Subject Categories:

• Government and Political Science
• Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE