GENERATING RANDOM INFORMATION FOR EXPERIMENTAL DECISION PROBLEMS.
Technical research note,
ARMY PERSONNEL RESEARCH OFFICE WASHINGTON D C
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The study reports on various methods which have been used to generate information through random processes which, to some degree, simulate randomness and inconsistency of actual combat information. Where appropriate, lines of future development are suggested which would lead to valuable additions to this growing body of technique. Two processes are described. The first deals with generating information about the probable structure of enemy forces the second deals with location of a probable attack by enemy forces. Rationales and statistical techniques are discussed. In two separate studies of decision making, sequences of data generated by these processes were successfully incorporated. Results reported suggest the feasibility and utility of model development for simulation research on man-machine systems. Author
- Military Intelligence