Accession Number:

AD0639751

Title:

METHODOLOGY FOR POSTATTACK RESEARCH.

Descriptive Note:

Research rept.,

Corporate Author:

HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1966-08-01

Pagination or Media Count:

46.0

Abstract:

The report discusses the methodology of postattack research. A hierarchical approach is described, in which the objects of analysis range from simple orgnaisms and artifacts to complex human societies and ecosystems. The notion of response to a perturbation which is appropriate for simple systems is extended to encompass the wider notion of disutility in describing the effects of a nuclear attack on the economy or the society of the nation as a whole. The appropriate uses of devices such as scenarios, games, case histories, metaphors and models for various purposes is discussed. The major point is that non-rigorous constructs may be extremely helpful in training, raising the level of the discussion, and generating insights, but cannot be used for predictive purposes as models can. A state-of-the-art estimate of various models is included. Author

Subject Categories:

  • Civil Defense

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE