Accession Number:

AD0606970

Title:

IMPROVING THE RELIABILITY OF ESTIMATES OBTAINED FROM A CONSENSUS OF EXPERTS,

Descriptive Note:

Corporate Author:

RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CALIF

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1964-09-01

Pagination or Media Count:

12.0

Abstract:

The outcome of an experiment in the use of expert opinions is reported. The experiment involved both the so-called Delphi technique, which seeks to induce opinion convergence through a sequence of questionnaires interspersed with controlled opinion feedback, and the computation of a consensus based on self-appraised competence ratings.

Subject Categories:

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE