GENERALIZED ANALYSIS OF AERIAL CAMPAIGNS AGAINST STRATEGIC TARGETS
RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA
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An analytic technique is described for direct determination of the outcome of optimal aerial bombing or reconnaissance campaigns against strategic targets, without the customary laborious exploration of variations in attack strategy. The scope of this analysis permits wide latitude in the nature of the strategic campaign and its environment, including the following the criterion defining an optimum campaign may be that of minimum cost, or minimum air crew loss for a fixed level of target destruction, with or without additional constraints such as specified maximum campaign duration aircraft losses may be due to enemy area and local defenses, non-combat causes, or due to destruction while on their own base. Several examples are used to illustrate how the analytic method presented here leads to a better understanding of the significant features of strategic campaigns, and their sensitivity to variations in assumptions, than can be gleaned from an essentially empirical study of many individual campaigns.
- Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics