Accession Number:

AD0604674

Title:

DISARMAMENT AND DETERRENCE,

Descriptive Note:

Corporate Author:

RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CALIF

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1962-04-01

Pagination or Media Count:

42.0

Abstract:

This paper has been an attempt to put into perspective deterrence, disarmament, and approaches to peace. The three are viewed as complementary elements in a solution to the problem posed by the political conflict between the democracies and the Soviet Union when both parties have the power of massive destruction. The political conflict appears to arise from the Soviet intention to dominate additional large portions of the world under a system which is apparently entirely incompatible with many values important to the West. Second, it is argued that because of its importance as a political, economic, and military base, Western Europe is a prize of incomparable value to the Soviets if they are intent on world domination. Third, because of the importance of Europe, the Soviets may see hope of success through military action there, with consequent local fighting which may develop into general war. Fourth, it is argued that for the next several years at least the protection of Western Europe must rest ultimately on the threat of nuclear retaliation. Fifth, it follows that the ability to deter aggression in Europe is the major instrument available in the midterm future for reducing the likelihood of general war, that is, for achieving the major objective of disarmament. From this argument some inferences for a general approach to the problem of reducing both the chances and the consequences of war are suggested.

Subject Categories:

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE