AVIATION FORECAST QUALITY CONTROL.
BOLLAY (E) ASSOCIATES INC GOLETA CALIF
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The study was directed toward the development of a quality control system which the FAA might use to monitor the quality of the U. S. Weather Bureaus aviation forecasts terminal FTs, winds aloft FDs, and area FAs. The evaluation was designed to determine forecast operational goodness regardless of specific weather or forecast methods. The results of the study serve to 1 provide the means of checking the quality of non-Agency weather forecasts which are used by Agency represented aviation 2 provide guidance to forecast users as to forecast operational goodness 3 suggest primary areas needing service improvement. The report shows that FTs and FDs, because of their direct and limiting format, are amenable to quality control techniques and procedures, while FAs are not, due to the flexibility of organization and freedom of expression permitted therein. The reports suggests that 1 the route concept should replace the area concept for both quality control and operational purposes 2 the organization of the FA should be standardized.