A NUMERICAL METHOD FOR PREDICTION OF THE 1000 MILLIBAR SURFACE.
NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA
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The development of a numerical 1000-mb prognosis by means of a 500 to 1000-mb thickness forecast is investigated. The thickness forecast is based, in part, on the 500-mb barotropic prognosis as developed by Fleet Numerical Weather Facility, Monterey. Forecasts were prepared for three days during May 1966, with various amounts of smoothing of the component fields. The model showed promise of producing a rapid, usable prognosis however further testing is needed with the probable addition of some climatic constraints. It is also hoped that the yet untried diabatic heating and surface friction terms will provide some further improvement. Author