A CRITIQUE OF ANALYTIC, WAR GAMING AS AN AID TO THE MILITARY DECISIONMAKER
NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA
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In the modern analytic war game, a military situation is simulated by describing the conflict in a mathematical model and carrying out the play of the game by computer. The traditional methods of tactical analysis are blended with the relatively new methods of mathematical simulation. This thesis has been written with the purpose of familiarizing the military officer with this new and promising analytic tool. Internal features of the game, which should be understood and appreciated by the military beneficiary of war game results, are examined. These include mathematical approximations, assumptions, and simulated decisions using the Monte Carlo technique. Some guidelines are suggested to assist the user in determining the meaning and relevancy of war game results. The objectives, appropriate uses, advantages and disadvantages of this analytic technique are discussed from the point of view of the games usefulness to the military decisionmaker.
- Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics