# Accession Number:

## AD0436021

# Title:

## OPTIMAL ADAPTIVE ESTIMATION OF SAMPLED STOCHASTIC PROCESSES

# Descriptive Note:

# Corporate Author:

## STANFORD UNIV CA STANFORD ELECTRONICS LABS

# Personal Author(s):

# Report Date:

## 1963-12-01

# Pagination or Media Count:

## 83.0

# Abstract:

An adaptive approach is presented to the problem of estimating a sampled, scalar-valued, stochastic process described by an initially unknown parameter vector. Knowledge of this quantity completely specifies the statistics of the process, and consequently the optimal estimator must learn the value of the parameter vector. In order that construction of the optimal estimator be feasible it is necessary to consider only those processes whose parameter vector comes from a finite set of a priori known values. Fortunately, many practical problems may be represented or adequately approximated by such a model. The optimal estimator is found to be composed of a set of elemental estimators and corresponding set of weighting coefficients, one pair for each possible value of the parameter vector. This structure is derived using properties of the conditional mean operator. For gaussmarkov processes the elemental estimators are linear, dynamic systems, and evaluation of the weighting coefficients involves relatively simple, nonlinear calculations. The resulting system is optimum in the sense that it minimizes the expected value of a positive- definite, quadratic form in terms of the error a generalized meansquare-error criterion.

# Descriptors:

# Subject Categories:

- Statistics and Probability