Accession Number:

AD0422374

Title:

A BEGINNING TO COST-EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS,

Descriptive Note:

Corporate Author:

RESEARCH ANALYSIS CORP MCLEAN VA

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1963-08-01

Pagination or Media Count:

11.0

Abstract:

This short paper describes a method of costeffectiveness analysis developed to evaluate specific items of Army equipment in mathematical terms, as part of the larger problem of optimum allocation of resources. The medium now main battle tank was selected as the leading item on a list of Army equipment chosen for criticality in combat. A linear programming model for the Univac Scientific 1103A computer was set up to solve the problems of maximum combat effectiveness subject to dollar constraints and minimum cost subject to maintaining selected levels of combat effectiveness. Comparative combat effectiveness of US and enemy forces was considered to be the product of ratios of rates of fire, probabilities of hit, and probabilities of kill, given hit. Later, weighting procedures allowed consideration of other factors. The area that gave the greatest difficulty and that requires the most future research is that of measures of effectiveness. That difficulty, plus the application of a simplified programming model, qualifies the studys product as illustrative rather than factual. Author

Subject Categories:

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE