# Accession Number:

## AD0415096

# Title:

## A MATHEMATICAL EVACUATION MODEL,

# Descriptive Note:

# Corporate Author:

## DIKEWOOD CORP ALBUQUERQUE N MEX

# Personal Author(s):

# Report Date:

## 1963-02-22

# Pagination or Media Count:

## 38.0

# Abstract:

The mathematical model discussed in this report is meant to be applicable to the problem of planning optimum strategic evacuations, in the sense that expected nuclear attack casualties to a given population are minimized. In the model, an attack area is divided into sectors. Within each sector, the vulnerability of personnel in various categories representing varying degrees of protection is specified, along with the maximum number of occupants allowed in each category. The allowed movements between sectors must also be specified. The principle problem discussed is that of determining an evacuation plan for a given attack area which minimizes the expected number of postattack casualties. A linear program for deriving optimum evacuation plans is described, and examples of its operation are given. Author