MODEL AND COMPUTER PROGRAM FOR CALCULATING THE KILL PROBABILITIES FOR CERTAIN ASW TACTICS
CENTER FOR NAVAL ANALYSES ALEXANDRIA VA OPERATIONS EVALUATION GROUP
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This memorandum describes a model and computer program designed to compute kill probabilities for certain firing tactics waged against an evading submarine. The model was developed assumiag that the aftack is imminent and that the weapon will be directed at the point where the submarine was last contacted. The models design is centered about a determination of sets of points which represent the locus of the evading submarine. The locus is determined by variation of a simple evasion tactic. The aimpoint is considered to be circularly normally distflbuted about the true position of the submarine at the time of last contact.
- Undersea and Antisubmarine Warfare