Accession Number : ADA597858


Title :   Probabilistic Deviation Detection and Optimal Thresholds


Descriptive Note : Final rept. Dec 2011-Sep 2013


Corporate Author : BAE SYSTEMS BURLINGTON MA


Personal Author(s) : Fahey, Joseph ; Smith, Jeff


Full Text : https://apps.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a597858.pdf


Report Date : Jan 2014


Pagination or Media Count : 33


Abstract : The PDDOT program is to provide a method of continuously monitoring military plans during execution for deviations from expected performance. Determining such deviations in critical to the success of military operations where the complexity of the battle space and rapidly evolving enemy tactics requires an agile and effective response. In addition, commanders face the challenge of deciding when a deviation is significant enough to warrant the risks of re-planning. The PDDOT project identifies an optimal deviation threshold for determining when the executing plan is proceeding as planned, or needs to be modified.


Descriptors :   *MILITARY PLANNING , *SITUATIONAL AWARENESS , ALGORITHMS , GAME THEORY , STATISTICAL ANALYSIS , TRADE OFF ANALYSIS


Subject Categories : Administration and Management
      Statistics and Probability
      Operations Research
      Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics


Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE