Accession Number : ADA579590


Title :   Retention Elasticity and Projection Model for U.S. Navy Medical Corps Officers


Descriptive Note : Master's thesis


Corporate Author : NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA


Personal Author(s) : Alshehri, Abdullah S ; Brossard, Hyrum T


Full Text : https://apps.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a579590.pdf


Report Date : Mar 2013


Pagination or Media Count : 129


Abstract : Retaining skilled doctors in the Navy s Medical Corps has become increasingly difficult due to the Global War on Terrorism (GWOT) and lucrative positions outside the military. This thesis estimates probit models to evaluate the effect that the civilian-military pay gap has on the overall Medical Corps retention rate across 19 specialties using data gathered from Bureau of Medicine and Surgery and Medical Group Management Association for Fiscal Year (FY) 2002 to FY2011. In particular, this study measures the overall retention elasticity and elasticity estimates for three main specialty groups (primary care, surgical specialties, and other specialties) and 19 individual specialties. Furthermore, projection models are employed to predict the Medical Corps future retention rates. Finally, this study seeks to understand if the protracted GWOT has an effect on the retention behavior of the Navy s Medical Corps. The results indicate that a 1% increase in the pay gap reduces the overall retention probability by 0.24%. The surgical group shows the highest retention elasticity ( 0.31), while the other specialties group exhibits the least responsiveness ( 0.19). The projection models estimate that the aggregate retention probability for FY2012 will be one percentage point lower than the actual retention rate of FY2011 (58%). Finally, the prolonged GWOT has reduced the overall retention rate by 14.1 percentage points.


Descriptors :   *MEDICAL PERSONNEL , *NAVAL PERSONNEL , *PHYSICIANS , ELASTIC PROPERTIES , MEDICAL SERVICES , OFFICER PERSONNEL , PERSONNEL RETENTION , PROJECT MANAGEMENT


Subject Categories : Medicine and Medical Research
      Military Forces and Organizations


Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE