Accession Number : ADA569924


Title :   NATO's Deterrence and Defense Posture After the Chicago Summit


Descriptive Note : Workshop rept.


Corporate Author : NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA DEPT OF NATIONAL SECURITY AFFAIRS


Personal Author(s) : Yost, David S


Full Text : https://apps.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a569924.pdf


Report Date : Nov 2012


Pagination or Media Count : 39


Abstract : On 25-27 June 2012 the NATO Defense College, the NATO Nuclear Policy Directorate, and the U.S. Naval Postgraduate School Center on Contemporary Conflict convened a workshop at the NATO Defense College in Rome concerning the future of NATO's deterrence and defense posture in light of the decisions made at the Alliance's summit meeting in Chicago in May 2012. Much of the discussion focused on the Deterrence and Defense Posture Review (DDPR) approved by the Allies at the Chicago Summit. Some workshop participants expressed reservations about a fundamental premise of the DDPR -- that the Allies should define an appropriate mix of nuclear, conventional, and missile defense capabilities. Some participants argued that missile defense is burdened by questions about its effectiveness and cost, while conventional deterrence is threatened by cutbacks in defense spending in the current and potentially long-lasting financial crisis. In this situation, the Allies will be faced with the choice of continuing to rely on nuclear deterrence or seeing deterrence undermined. Many workshop participants said that NATO's nuclear-sharing arrangements remain important for deterrence and assurance within the Alliance. The life extension program for the B-61 gravity bomb and the modernization of dual-capable aircraft remain central issues for the future of NATO's nuclear deterrence posture. Several participants said that the DDPR's focus on nuclear, conventional, and missile defense capabilities was too narrow and that future assessments of the Alliance's capability requirements must take the cyber and space dimensions into account. Participants agreed that strategic communication is essential for credibility and effective deterrence and crisis management, and some participants analyzed how messages may be misinterpreted by potential adversaries. Several participants identified obstacles to negotiating limits on Russian nonstrategic nuclear forces.


Descriptors :   *ANTIMISSILE DEFENSE SYSTEMS , *ARMS CONTROL , *CONVENTIONAL WARFARE , *DEFENSE SYSTEMS , *DETERRENCE , *NATO , *NUCLEAR WARFARE , ASIA , CHINA , CYBERWARFARE , GOVERNMENT(FOREIGN) , INTELLIGENCE , INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS , MIDDLE EAST , MILITARY CAPABILITIES , MILITARY MODERNIZATION , NEGOTIATIONS , NUCLEAR WEAPONS , RUSSIA , SECURITY , SPACE WARFARE , THREAT EVALUATION , UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT , WORKSHOPS


Subject Categories : Government and Political Science
      Military Forces and Organizations
      Defense Systems
      Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics


Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE