Accession Number : ADA562681


Title :   Military Intelligence Fusion for Complex Operations: A New Paradigm


Descriptive Note : Occasional paper


Corporate Author : RAND NATIONAL DEFENSE RESEARCH INST SANTA MONICA CA


Personal Author(s) : Connable, Ben


Full Text : https://apps.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a562681.pdf


Report Date : Jan 2012


Pagination or Media Count : 39


Abstract : Military intelligence often fails to provide commanders and policymakers with an effective understanding of complex counterinsurgency (COIN) environments. This failure stems in great part from a failure to deliver holistic, fused analysis.2 Most analyses of complex environments are derived from a systems analysis model that artificially deconstructs both the environment and the people and groups within that environment. Treating complex environments, such as Iraq or Afghanistan, as a system that can be broken into simply labeled component parts leads analysts to make unhelpful and logically unsound assumptions regarding human identity. These assumptions, in turn, undermine analytic effectiveness. Instead of fusing available information in a way that accurately reflects the inherently complex shades-of-gray ground truth, military analysts influenced by systems analysis and conventional military doctrine often channel their thinking and efforts into three artificially color-coded categories: red, white, and green.3 These colors represent, respectively, the enemy, the population, and the host nation.


Descriptors :   *COUNTERINSURGENCY , *MILITARY INTELLIGENCE , *MILITARY OPERATIONS , FAILURE , MILITARY COMMANDERS , MILITARY DOCTRINE , POLICIES , SYSTEMS ANALYSIS


Subject Categories : Military Intelligence
      Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics


Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE