Accession Number : ADA562145
Title : Assessing the Short-Term Effects on Output of Changes in Federal Fiscal Policies (Working Paper Series)
Descriptive Note : Research rept.
Corporate Author : CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE (U S CONGRESS) WASHINGTON DC
Personal Author(s) : Reichling, Felix ; Whalen, Charles
Report Date : May 2012
Pagination or Media Count : 27
Abstract : Changes in federal fiscal policies can have both short-term and long-term effects on output. The Congressional Budget Office s analysis of the short-term effects focuses on the impact on the demand for goods and services. That impact can be decomposed into direct effects and indirect effects: Direct effects consist of changes in purchases of goods and services by federal agencies and by the people and organizations who are recipients of federal payments or payers of federal taxes; indirect effects enhance or offset the direct effects. The indirect effects can be summarized by a demand multiplier, defined as the total change in gross domestic product per dollar of direct effect on demand. This paper presents the ranges of demand multipliers that CBO uses in its analyses and reviews evidence on the size of those multipliers.
Descriptors : *FISCAL POLICIES , ECONOMIC ANALYSIS , ECONOMIC IMPACT , ECONOMIC MODELS , FEDERAL BUDGETS , MACROECONOMICS , PRODUCTIVITY , STATISTICAL ANALYSIS , TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
Subject Categories : Economics and Cost Analysis
Government and Political Science
Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE