Accession Number : ADA551007


Title :   Arctic Planning Scenarios: Scenario #1: Defence Scenario


Descriptive Note : Contract rept.


Corporate Author : LANSDOWNE TECHNOLOGIES INC ONTARIO (CANADA)


Personal Author(s) : Mugridge, David ; Avis, Peter ; Race, Peter


Full Text : https://apps.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a551007.pdf


Report Date : Jul 2011


Pagination or Media Count : 61


Abstract : With the change in northern climate over the past decade, current policy and media discussions have focused on the future of the Arctic. DRDC CORA has taken on a number of research projects, including the development of two Arctic security scenarios, a scenario development methodology, and a Capability Inventory Tool (CIT) to identify and characterize legislation and policy on the Arctic, with a view to developing scenarios for future planning and assisting operational commands in their interactions with other operations centres. This report presents one of two scenarios, focused on a defence-centric response scenario. The scenario makes use of the CIT to present an overview of the current situation and presents a projection out to 2015 to set context for a security environment in which there are significant tensions between Canada and Russia over arctic sovereignty. While all efforts have been taken to present a plausible scenario, the research was not based on any intelligence assessments and is not intended to be considered a probable future. Rather, it presents a context to test a range of capabilities required for Canada to be able to meet its strategy and policy objectives.


Descriptors :   *ARCTIC REGIONS , *RESEARCH MANAGEMENT , CANADA , LEGISLATION , METHODOLOGY , PLANNING , POLICIES , PROBABILITY , SCENARIOS


Subject Categories : Administration and Management


Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE