Accession Number : ADA490724


Title :   Will China's Rise Remain Peaceful? (Military Threat or Economic Competitor)


Descriptive Note : Master's thesis


Corporate Author : MARINE CORPS COMMAND AND STAFF COLL QUANTICO VA


Personal Author(s) : Benson, Jr, Albert L


Full Text : https://apps.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a490724.pdf


Report Date : Jan 2008


Pagination or Media Count : 28


Abstract : China has begun a single-minded mission to become the supreme military power in the Asian-Pacific rim while the United States is unwittingly strengthening China's economy, ultimately leading to a credible military threat. China has become the world's 2nd largest economy. As China's economy continues to grow at an average of 10% annually, the world has begun to speculate whether China's economic power will ultimately lead to international instability. Since China has not been threatened by hostile action from any other country, it is unclear why it has made double-digit increases in its military expenditures over the past 20 years. One possible explanation may be to protect and acquire vital resources needed to sustain a booming economy. Secondly, China may be increasing its military capability to deny the United States intervention over a possible conflict with Taiwan. While the aforementioned explanations are merely possibilities, it is evident that China's military modernization requires economic modernization. Surprisingly, a major contributor to China's economic modernization is a reliance on U.S. markets and foreign direct investments (FDI). In light of this economic interdependence, should the United States take action to retard the growth of China's economy, thus hampering its military modernization efforts? The author concludes that China's immediate concern for now is keeping its economy thriving over the next 15 to 20 years. However, in the foreseeable future, China will likely evolve into a military threat as a result of double-digit defense budget increases.


Descriptors :   *ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT , *CHINA , *COMPETITION , *THREATS , *MILITARY MODERNIZATION , *MILITARY FORCES(FOREIGN) , INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS , TAIWAN , INSTABILITY , INTERNATIONAL TRADE , THESES , INVESTMENTS , UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT , UNITED STATES , MILITARY CAPABILITIES


Subject Categories : Economics and Cost Analysis
      Military Forces and Organizations


Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE