Accession Number : ADA276732


Title :   New Approaches to Planning for Emerging Long Term Threats. Volume 1. Text


Corporate Author : INSTITUTE FOR DEFENSE ANALYSES ALEXANDRIA VA


Personal Author(s) : Biddle, Stephen D ; Klare, Julia L ; Tillson, John C F ; Zirkle, Robert A


Full Text : https://apps.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a276732.pdf


Report Date : Dec 1993


Pagination or Media Count : 137


Abstract : The briefing summarizes the findings of a quick-response IDA study of new approaches to planning for emerging long term threats. The study was motivated by concern that with the end of the cold war, challenges to U.S. security may be changing in ways that current U.S. military capabilities are ill-suited to meet -- and that the nature of the defense planning problem may be changing in ways that the existing PPBS system is ill-suited to meet. In particular, the combination of slower modernization rates (which means longer- term implications for current program decisions) and a rapidly changing threat environment have made longer range planning both more important and more difficult. Given this, IDA developed an analytical approach for conducting longer term planning under such conditions, and provided a proof of principle for that approach via a series of illustrative analyses.


Descriptors :   *NATIONAL SECURITY , *THREAT EVALUATION , *MILITARY PLANNING , *DEFENSE PLANNING , NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION , THREATS , PRECISION BOMBING , PLANNING PROGRAMMING BUDGETING , MASS DESTRUCTION WEAPONS , TARGET ACQUISITION , MILITARY FORCES(UNITED STATES)


Subject Categories : Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics


Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE