Accession Number : ADA267626


Title :   China at the Turn of the Century: A Handbook for Operational Planners


Descriptive Note : Final rept. 18 Nov 1992-3 Mar 1993


Corporate Author : NAVAL WAR COLL NEWPORT RI ADVANCED RESEARCH PROGRAM


Personal Author(s) : Grant, Frederick H


Full Text : https://apps.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a267626.pdf


Report Date : 03 Mar 1993


Pagination or Media Count : 132


Abstract : Current internal events in China are analyzed to determine their effects of international relations and on formulation of PACOM strategy. The legacy of a four thousand year Chinese civilization is clashing with a revolutionary communist society. Economic modernization is occurring at a rapid pace, without any corresponding political and ideological reforms, further exacerbating an already volatile situation. PACOM strategy cannot influence internal events in China. PACOM planners must, therefore, formulate strategy designed to contain spill-over. This spill-over may occur as a result of four distinct scenarios: a civil war in China; Chinese maritime aggression; a PRC conflict with Taiwan; or a dispute between China and her continental neighbors. Internal instability in China makes these scenarios near-term possibilities, and will drive continuous reassessment of PACOM strategy.


Descriptors :   *INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS , *CHINA , SCENARIOS , STRATEGY , ECONOMICS , SOCIETIES , THREATS , TAIWAN , COMMUNISTS , FORMULATIONS , INTERNAL , DRIVES , CONFLICT , INTERNATIONAL , INSTABILITY


Subject Categories : Government and Political Science
      Geography


Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE