Accession Number : ADA265393


Title :   The Oak Ridge Spreadsheet Battle Model (User's Guide)


Descriptive Note : User Guide


Corporate Author : OAK RIDGE GASEOUS DIFFUSION PLANT TN DATA SYSTEMS RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM


Personal Author(s) : Hartley, D S , III


Full Text : https://apps.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a265393.pdf


Report Date : May 1991


Pagination or Media Count : 71


Abstract : The Oak Ridge Spreadsheet Battle Model (ORSBM) is a combat effects predictor model. Given a description of a battle, it predicts the duration, surprise, advance rate, total advance, casualties, combat systems losses, and victor for the battle. Further, the model produces confidence ranges for each result. The form of the equation used to calculate casualties has been validated; however, the application of the input data to these equations and the other calculations reflect statistical fits to historical data. The historical data are extensive, but not exhaustive. Therefore, using the model to forecast the results of future battles, while providing a superior forecast to other alternatives, will result in inaccuracies. This document describes version 3 of the ORSBM. The model is implemented as a Lotus 1-2-3 spreadsheet. Separate sections describe the operating instructions, the input requirements, and the output interpretation. An additional section is included that contains the mathematical logic of the model to enable its transference to other spreadsheets or modeling environments.


Descriptors :   *COMPUTER PROGRAMS , *COMPUTERIZED SIMULATION , *USER MANUALS , *PREDICTIONS , *BATTLES , COMPUTATIONS , STATISTICAL DATA , CASUALTIES


Subject Categories : Computer Programming and Software
      Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics


Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE