Accession Number : ADA081602


Title :   The Economic Impact of Domestic Military Installations on Regional Economies.


Descriptive Note : Master's thesis,


Corporate Author : NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA


Personal Author(s) : Young,Charles K


Full Text : https://apps.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a081602.pdf


Report Date : Dec 1979


Pagination or Media Count : 186


Abstract : This research determined that a model could be developed to predict the impact of changes in spending by a military installation on a regional economy. Such impacts are required to be estimated to implement the National Environmental Protection Act. The research examined the theoretical basis for impact determination especially economic base theory. This theory applies multipliers to changes in basic activity to predict economic impact. Techniques for developing multipliers were explored with emphasis on shift share analysis and location quotients. These techniques were applied to a comprehensive survey of the Monterey County economy. An Army developed model using location quotients was analyzed, and alternate techniques based on shift share analysis were proposed. Finally the impacts on Monterey County predicted by the two methods were compared using hypothetical changes in the Fort Ord force level. Recommendations for calculating impacts and improving predictive techniques are presented. (Author)


Descriptors :   *MILITARY FACILITIES , *ECONOMIC ANALYSIS , IMPACT , ECONOMICS , THESES , IMPACT PREDICTION , GEOGRAPHIC AREAS


Subject Categories : Economics and Cost Analysis


Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE