Accession Number : ADA019014


Title :   Stochastic Simulations of Long-Range Forecasting Models. Volume 3. Technical Appendix


Descriptive Note : Final technical rept. Feb-Oct 1975


Corporate Author : CACI INC-FEDERAL ARLINGTON VA


Personal Author(s) : Weil, Herman M ; McIlroy, John J


Full Text : https://apps.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a019014.pdf


Report Date : 31 Oct 1975


Pagination or Media Count : 279


Abstract : Guidelines for generating forecasts and simulations are also presented in this Technical Appendix to enable Department of Defense personnel to become better acquainted with the approaches to generating meaningful, interesting, alternative futures for comparing the strategic implications of contrasting developments. Finally, the Appendix contains several annexes that identify the nations used in the study, the years and sources of all data, the model parameters, the computer forecasting program and data, the results of a standard forecast, and a simple simulation.


Descriptors :   *COMPUTER PROGRAMMING , *FORECASTING , *GEOPOLITICS , *GOVERNMENT(FOREIGN) , *LONG RANGE(TIME) , *MILITARY PLANNING , *UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT , AFRICA , DECISION MAKING , DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE , ECONOMICS , FOREIGN AID , FOREIGN POLICY , GLOBAL , IMPACT , INSURGENCY , INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS , LATIN AMERICA , MATHEMATICAL MODELS , METHODOLOGY , MIDDLE EAST , MILITARY ASSISTANCE , NATIONS , PLANNING , POLITICAL SCIENCE , RESOURCES , STOCHASTIC PROCESSES , THREAT EVALUATION , TREATIES , USSR , WAR POTENTIAL


Subject Categories : Administration and Management
      Government and Political Science
      Computer Programming and Software


Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE