Accession Number : AD1051596


Title :   Application of Enlisted Force Retention Levels and Career Field Stability


Descriptive Note : Technical Report


Corporate Author : Air Force Institute of Technology Wright Patterson AFB United States


Personal Author(s) : Zimmermann, Jamie T


Full Text : https://apps.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/1051596.pdf


Report Date : 23 Mar 2017


Pagination or Media Count : 74


Abstract : The Air Forces success is influenced by the manpower it has. The end-strength is Congressionally mandated. Over 10 years ago, the Air force produced enlisted career field sustainment lines based on manning. If a career field was over manned the authorizations were decreased, likewise if a career field was under manned the authorizations were increased. The constant fluctuation of manning caused bathtubs to be created and requirements to go unfilled. Currently, the Air force produces enlisted career field sustainment lines based on the 5-year historical retention rates. This method produced a more steady state approach, as well as providing a means to adjust the line for other policy actions such as retraining in/out. The need to have a statistically base approach is essential for explaining and defending the creation of the sustainment lines. Data from 2006-2015 was utilized in this research. Logistic regression was used to determine if any significant variables existed, however logistic regression did not provide insight into the behavior of the data. A survival analysis approach, using retention data, provides a statistically sound methodology to the creation of the sustainment lines. This study produces sustainment lines based on the survival functions for each enlisted career field.


Descriptors :   enlisted personnel , air force personnel , careers , personnel retention , recruiting , personnel management , regression analysis , manpower , air force training , attrition , gain , sustainment , MILITARY SEPARATION


Subject Categories : Personnel Management and Labor Relations
      Military Forces and Organizations


Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE