Accession Number : AD1030482


Title :   Hidden in Plain Sight: Signs of Great Power War


Descriptive Note : Technical Report


Corporate Author : AIR UNIV MAXWELL AFB AL MAXWELL AFB United States


Personal Author(s) : Kennedy,Patrick J


Full Text : https://apps.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/1030482.pdf


Report Date : 01 Jun 2016


Pagination or Media Count : 88


Abstract : This thesis analyzes the origins of World War I and todays US-China relationship within a worldview consisting of four factors that increase the risk of great power war. Prior to World War I, four signposts were prevalent a hegemonic challenger, a power imbalance, a series of repeated crises, and entangling alliances. These signposts made great power war more likely during the 1914 July Crisis. Nuclear weapons, a different international order, and geography are clear differences in this historical analogy. However, the four basic factors are evident in today's Asian-Pacific region. A worldview that ignores the increased risk of great power conflict will leave leaders with strategic blind spots and, ultimately, failure. Great power conflict has not gone away.


Descriptors :   china , first world war , warfare , governments , national politics , air force , treaties , international organizations , national security , international relations


Subject Categories : Government and Political Science
      Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics


Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE