Accession Number : AD1030073


Title :   Assessing Consequential Scenarios in a Complex Operational Environment Using Agent Based Simulation


Descriptive Note : Technical Report,01 Jun 2015,30 Sep 2016


Corporate Author : ARMY RESEARCH LAB ABERDEEN PROVING GROUND MD ABERDEEN PROVING GROUND


Personal Author(s) : James,Alex ; Pierowicz,John ; Moskal,Mike ; Hanratty,Timothy ; Tuttle,Dan ; Sensenig,Bob ; Hedges,Bill


Full Text : https://apps.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/1030073.pdf


Report Date : 16 Mar 2017


Pagination or Media Count : 220


Abstract : In an operational environment characterized by interactive complexity, emergence, and near constant change, this report examines whether agent-based or game-theoretic capability can improve the military decision-making process by providing additional rigor, speed, or flexibility during tactical US Army wargaming. The report considers methodologies to improve analysis of the human domain, identifies frameworks for modeling such a capability, and compares them against current Army wargaming practices. The report is composed of 5 sections: State of Wargaming, Agent-Based Modeling in Tactical Wargaming, Modeling Human Computer Decision-Making, Existing Research and Applied Development of Agent-Based Modeling, and Plan for Research Development, Technology, and Training. The report concludes with a recommended technology and research path for the Army.


Descriptors :   War games , DECISION MAKING , computational science , artificial intelligence , human behavior , psychology , combat simulations , agentbased simulations , computer simulations , game theory , military organizations , bayesian networks , Computerized simulation


Subject Categories : Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics
      Administration and Management
      Computer Programming and Software


Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE