Accession Number : AD1026156


Title :   Peaceful Protest, Political Regimes, and the Social Media Challenge


Descriptive Note : Technical Report


Corporate Author : Naval Postgraduate School Monterey United States


Personal Author(s) : Childs,Geoffrey D ; Fleming,Randolph II J


Full Text : https://apps.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/1026156.pdf


Report Date : 01 Jun 2016


Pagination or Media Count : 69


Abstract : Information and communication technologies (ICT) have transformed with the advent of the Internet and the diffusion of cellular-based communications. Previous research has examined the effects of horizontal ICT on collective violence, but the effects on non-violent expressions are not well understood. Using social conflict data from Africa and Latin America between 1990 and 2011, this study employs negative binomial regression models to explore the distinct effects of the spread of social media on peaceful protests within democratic, anocratic, and autocratic regimes. Multiple regression models find strong statistical evidence in support of a positive relationship between social media and peaceful protest in anocratic regimes. Autocratic and anocratic states will thus increasingly find themselves in a social media challengerepress horizontal ICT or embrace it and its effectsas their populations seek democratization.


Descriptors :   regression analysis , insurgency , internet , mass media , mobile phones , civil war , social media , political movements , violence , international organizations


Subject Categories : Sociology and Law


Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE