Accession Number : AD1007652


Title :   Black Swan Event Assessment for Fort Leonard Wood, Missouri


Descriptive Note : Technical Report


Corporate Author : U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center Champaign United States


Personal Author(s) : Diaz-Estrada,Grace M ; Westervelt,James D


Full Text : https://apps.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/1007652.pdf


Report Date : 01 Mar 2016


Pagination or Media Count : 57


Abstract : Emergency preparation typically involves evaluating disaster potential and consequences, followed by disaster preparedness. Potentials are informed by history, with the easy human belief that we must obviously prepare for the past. There is a class of disasters that in-volve events that may not have been anticipated, but in hindsight appear to be obviously overlooked. This report attempts to identify such black swan events, potential disasters in the Fort Leonard Wood area that might well attract more attention in future planning ex-ercises.


Descriptors :   crisis management , natural disasters , risk analysis , emergencies


Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE