Accession Number : AD1007652

Title :   Black Swan Event Assessment for Fort Leonard Wood, Missouri

Descriptive Note : Technical Report

Corporate Author : U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center Champaign United States

Personal Author(s) : Diaz-Estrada,Grace M ; Westervelt,James D

Full Text :

Report Date : 01 Mar 2016

Pagination or Media Count : 57

Abstract : Emergency preparation typically involves evaluating disaster potential and consequences, followed by disaster preparedness. Potentials are informed by history, with the easy human belief that we must obviously prepare for the past. There is a class of disasters that in-volve events that may not have been anticipated, but in hindsight appear to be obviously overlooked. This report attempts to identify such black swan events, potential disasters in the Fort Leonard Wood area that might well attract more attention in future planning ex-ercises.

Descriptors :   crisis management , natural disasters , risk analysis , emergencies

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE