Accession Number : AD1007573

Title :   A Model for Forecasting Enlisted Student IA Billet Requirements

Descriptive Note : Technical Report

Corporate Author : Center for Naval Analyses Arlington United States

Personal Author(s) : Belcher,Steven W ; Reese,David L ; Lawler,Kletus S

Full Text :

Report Date : 01 Mar 2016

Pagination or Media Count : 58

Abstract : The student portion of the Navys Individuals Account (Student IA) represents the time that sailors spend in training while in a student status. Sailors in a student status are not part of the Navys distributable inventory and, therefore, are not available for assignment to fleet units. Over execution of the student account, which occurs when in-year student IA execution exceeds its authorized endstrength (E/S), impedes the Navys ability to man the fleet. Many factors affect how well student IA execution aligns with its authorized E/S. Chief among them is the ability to accurately forecast future student execution levels. These forecasts become the student E/S requirements for program deliberations in the Program Objectives Memorandum (POM) process. The Navy recognizes the need to improve its forecasting capability. This study addresses that need by developing a prototype model that implements a new methodology for forecasting enlisted student billet requirements. The proposed model calculates these requirements by enlisted management community (EMC) and learning center based on future accession and fleet manpower requirements.


Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE