Accession Number : AD1002919

Title :   A Bayesian Analysis of the Flood Frequency Hydrology Concept

Descriptive Note : Technical Report

Corporate Author : Army Engineer Research and Development Center Vicksburg United States

Personal Author(s) : Skahill,Brian E ; Viglione,Alberto ; Byrd,Aaron

Full Text :

Report Date : 01 Feb 2016

Pagination or Media Count : 22

Abstract : The purpose of this document is to demonstrate a Bayesian analysis of the flood frequency hydrology concept as a formal probabilistic-based means by which to coherently combine and also evaluate the worth of different types of additional data (i.e., temporal, spatial, and causal) in a flood frequency analysis. This approach is responsive to the stated ultimate goal of existing U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) policy guidance, which is probabilistic analysis of all key variables, parameters, and components of flood damage reduction studies (USACE 2006). This objective will be accomplished by independently revisiting components of an example originally profiled by Viglione et al. (2013). This technical note will also include a brief discussion of some potential opportunities for future related research and development.

Descriptors :   frequency , hydrology , FLOODS , MARKOV CHAINS , MONTE CARLO METHOD , probability distributions

Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE