Accession Number : AD0478819


Title :   AN ANALYSIS OF THE DECISION PROCESS


Descriptive Note : Master's thesis


Corporate Author : NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA


Personal Author(s) : Cummins, II, Paul Z


Full Text : https://apps.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/478819.pdf


Report Date : Jan 1964


Pagination or Media Count : 58


Abstract : The purpose of this paper is to formulate a simple analysis of the decision process, in order to optimize a decision over a time interval. In particular, a military decision process is analyzed in relation to input and output parameters. These parameters vary with time according to the values held by those making a decision. Values also change in both short intervals and long intervals and an analysis of the value trends, by experiment, is made. From such trends, projection into the future can be made, such that optimization of the decision process can be established. An optimization rule for the decision process is presented, utilizing trend analysis from experimental data of the values of input and output parameters.


Descriptors :   *DECISION MAKING , *MILITARY PSYCHOLOGY , APPLIED PSYCHOLOGY , EXPERIMENTAL DATA , MATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS , NAVAL PERSONNEL , PROJECTIVE TECHNIQUES , PSYCHOLOGICAL TESTS , STANDARDS , STATISTICAL ANALYSIS , TEST METHODS , TIME


Subject Categories : Psychology


Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE