Accession Number : AD0452943


Title :   OFFICER PROMOTION PROCEDURES. I. AN ANALYSIS OF OFFICER PROMOTION ACTIONS


Corporate Author : PERSONNEL RESEARCH LAB LACKLAND AFB TX


Personal Author(s) : Valentine, Jr , Lonnie D ; Tupes, Ernest C


Full Text : https://apps.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/452943.pdf


Report Date : Oct 1964


Pagination or Media Count : 30


Abstract : Data from actions of the FY 1962 Promotion Boards for majors, lieutenant colonels, and colonels were used to estimate reliability of decisions and the relationship of Promotion Scores to Officer Effectiveness Reports (OERs) . A series of statistical analyses showed that: (1) the evaluations and resulting recommendations regarding promotion are reliable; (2) from 80 to 90 percent of the decisions would have been concurred in by a hypothetical second board; (3) the nearer an eligible is placed to the selection cutoff score, the greater the likelihood that the promotion decision about him would have been reversed by a second board; and (4) while mean OER is related to Promotion Score, it has been shown that other factors also contributed to this score. An appendix describes the method of estimating reliability of panel scores and board decisions.


Descriptors :   *PERFORMANCE(HUMAN) , *STATISTICAL ANALYSIS , *PROMOTION(ADVANCEMENT) , STABILITY , DECISION MAKING , SELECTION , OFFICER PERSONNEL , CLASSIFICATION , LEADERSHIP


Subject Categories : Personnel Management and Labor Relations
      Military Forces and Organizations


Distribution Statement : APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE